◆ [YTN Radio SHINYUL's news]
■ Broadcasting: FM 94.5 (17:00-19:00)
■ Air date: November 5, 2024 (Tuesday)
■ Proceedings: Shin Yul, Professor of Political Science and Diplomacy at Myongji University
■ Talk: Yoon Sang-hyun, member of the People's Power,
* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information.
- U.S. presidential election, razor-thin superlatives...Possible controversy over mail-in voting in seven competing states
- The government is preparing with a scenario for the outcome of the U.S. presidential election
- Han Dong-hoon, the direction is correct, but the delivery method is not sophisticated.尹, you should apologize for anything you want to apologize for. ∀, you should reveal what you're going to reveal in the 尹 public statement.National eye level needed
- Is the recording of pollack bacteria released? Impeachment build-up process...the Democratic Party's nibbling.
◆ Shin Yul: Shin Yul's news head-to-head match begins part 4. I'm Yoon Sang-hyun, a member of the People's Power, who will meet in the front interview of the fourth part today. I'm on the phone right now. Hello, Senator.
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: Yes, hello.
◆ Shin Yul: Didn't you go to the U.S. recently? Isn't it during the inspection?
◇ Yun Sang-hyun: I'm a guide
◆ Velocity: India song
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: Yes, yes. Uzbekistan
◆ Shin Yul: Uzbekistan
◇ Yun Sang-hyun : On the Japanese side
◆ Shin Yul: The reason I talked about the United States is because I want to ask you about the U.S. presidential election, what do you think will happen?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: That's why it's called a super battle. So it's jagged depending on the poll period. There's a magazine called The Hill that comes out of Congress when you're in the United States. In The Hill, Trump is 4 wins, 2 losses and 1 loss in 7 competing states. Not in the case of the New York Times.
◆ Voiceover: Harris has an advantage.
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: It's four wins, two draws and one loss. I'm saying the exact opposite, but since it's called a laser scene in the U.S., there's a razor blade, right? It's a razor-like super battle. I'm looking at it like this. So the problem is that the total number of voters I know is about 250 million. There are more than 180 million registered voters. But this means that more than 80 million people who voted by mail voted in advance, and more than 35 million people voted by mail. So, it takes a lot of time to open a mail-in ballot and do this. In the case of Pennsylvania, when the post office seal is stamped on the 5th, it comes in after 3 days and recognizes it. So if you look at the last presidential election, Pennsylvania announces four days later that Biden won. But in Arizona, it's now counted, so it can take up to 13 days to count. There could be a controversy over mail-in voting in the seven contending states. When I think about this, Biden's victory was four days after this was over, but this would be longer. It could be more than a week. That's what I think.
◆ Sin-ryul: So the United States also has several votes, right? Most of these are done with several checks, so there's more time, but wouldn't X-Paul get it right when it comes to exit polls?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: I recently looked at the first exit poll, which involved 65 million early voters, and Harris now wins a lot in seven competing states. The reason why this phenomenon occurs is that the Democratic Party of Korea participates a lot in early voting. Democratic supporters say that the U.S. encouraged early voting on the Republican side this time, but basically, the Democratic Party tends to be strong, whether it is early voting or mail-in voting. If you look at it four years ago, candidate Trump won on-site voting. I won, but when was it overturned? It was overturned when the mail-in vote came out. Vote by mail, so I don't believe it. So, when they won the first time, they called it red, so the so-called red thing, the Republican Party won the new record, but it disappeared the next day. So in early voting, almost Democrats win. But if you look at the polls, it's almost tied.
◆ Shin Yul: Actually, but it's a tie and it's so close right now, so from our point of view, we're both preparing. He claims that everything is going well, but lawmaker Yoon Sang-hyun is a Ph.D. in political science, that's right. He did it in the United States, and he also served as chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee. You said you were in your 21s or 20s. The government is preparing well. How do you believe you're doing well?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: The government is preparing for everything with its own expected scenario. During the first Trump campaign, I was in my 20s. I was the chairman of the Foreign Affairs and Unification Committee, and suddenly President Trump raised his defense contribution to $5 billion. What am I talking about in Korea? At that time, I was paying about 1 trillion won as far as I remember. But he suddenly asked me to pay 5 billion dollars, so I went to Washington Joe alone to meet Senator James, Vice President, Vice President Pence, Chief of Staff Mark, and the Prime Minister. So I made a fire then and somehow communicated the Korean side's position, and eventually it got better, but don't we have a share of defense costs between the U.S. and South Korea? The special agreement is now in the 11th round, and for the 12th round starting in 2026, it is set at 1.5 trillion won in the first year and increases every year according to the consumer price index. But I negotiated very well with the fact that it didn't exceed 5%. However, candidate Trump went to the Chicago Economic Club in mid-October when the negotiations took place in early October, and he said, "Korea is a money machine." To pay that $10 billion,
◆ Shin Yul: I'm just throwing anything. What?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: But what does candidate Harris mean? She's doing a good job of contributing to South Korea's defense. I refuted it again. So, from our perspective, shouldn't international relations have some predictability or sustainability? If candidate Harris becomes president, the relationship between South Korea and the U.S. will go according to the Biden administration, but if Trump becomes president again, there is a high possibility that he will suddenly raise his defense contribution by $1 billion. It can also be linked to the reduction of U.S. troops in Korea or something like that. Another thing that worries me the most is that candidate Trump continues to get along well with Kim Jong-un during the campaign. Kim Jong-un is tough and smart. The most worrisome thing about Kim Jong-un talking about things with me is that when Trump became president, a summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un would take place and what kind of big deal would take place there
◆ Shin Yul: Don't you mean a nuclear disarmament negotiation or something?
◇ Yun Sang-hyun: It's not about dismantling North Korea's nuclear weapons, but about freezing North Korea's nuclear weapons.
◆ Sin-ryul: So it's like recognizing the status of a nuclear power.
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: It's not about dismantling North Korea's nuclear weapons program, but about North Korea's nuclear management policy, "Hey, freeze this nuclear weapon. Don't just spread nuclear weapons. Don't deploy ICBMs or anything. This is the most worrisome scenario for giving the U.S. the status of a de facto nuclear power by hitting it like this.
◆ Shin Yul: Yeah, so in a nutshell, it's not a matter of how you prepare. You're talking about this, right?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: So we also won the election in 2016 when President Trump did it last time. At that time, when candidate Trump was suddenly elected, didn't he search for who had Trump connections in Korea? Take a look at Abe then. Japanese Prime Minister Abe is the first to visit Trump in New York. So it solidifies the human connection between the two leaders. He's enjoying a honeymoon period in front of Trump. So we need to broaden our contacts with Trump's side of human contact in some way. I'm telling you this.
◆ Sin Yul: I can't ask you this because I have a member here, but you know President Yoon Suk Yeol is going to speak on November 7th, right? And unlimited press conference. How do you evaluate this decision?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: First of all, the original president now has the APEC summit in Peru. Since we're in Peru, we're going to do it after the APEC summit. There was a lot of this kind of talk from the presidential office. So for people like me, it's a little late, but before you go, October 11th is the halfway point of your term, so it would be better to tell the president's development on various pending issues in advance. It was in this position, but I think floor leader Choo Kyung-ho met once yesterday in the presidential office. After hearing floor leader Choo Kyung-ho's story, he said he would come forward and tell me. I think it's done like this.
◆ Shin-yul: But I'm curious. When CEO Han Dong-hoon talks, there's not much response, and when CEO Choo Kyung-ho talks, there's a response when the floor leader talks. What do you think?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: That's really true. That's why I'm telling you this to CEO Han Dong-hoon, but doesn't CEO Han Dong-hoon convey a certain national voice like this?
◆ Shin Yul: Yes.
◇ Yun Sang-hyun: But I think there needs to be some sophistication in the way this is conveyed. You have to be a bit strategic. So this person is not the leader of the opposition party. I'm the leader of the ruling party. Then, if you are the leader of the ruling party, you have to think about how you will convey your stinging voice to the public sentiment of the people. So when floor leader Choo Kyung-ho made another suggestion, I got it last night. So I want to say that what is important is building human trust. human trust in political warfare
◆ Shin Yul: Since representative Han Dong-hoon does that, some say that the public's power approval rating is still decoupling with the president's approval rating.
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: That's right. CEO Han Dong-hoon is trying to convey a national voice. So, I think I'll think of a way to convey a more sophisticated national voice and set up a kite so that the president's office can take the lead in taking the initiative while conveying the stinging voice of the public. Of course, if you do that, you won't move, so there can be things like this, but first of all, it's basic human trust building. If you have trust, you can fully convey your intentions, but you can solve this situation by so-called a meeting with the president's office. So I think we need some strategic leadership in that area.
◆ Sin-ryul: So the direction is right, but can I understand that the method is a bit too bumpy?
◇ Yun Sang-hyun: Yes method
◆ Shin Yul: So the direction is right, but anyway, the style is a bit clunky. But do you think President Yoon Suk Yeol is going to apologize now?
◇ Yun Sang-hyun: Shouldn't we apologize first?
◆ Shin Yul: Do you want to apologize for the conversation between Mrs. Kim Gun-hee and Myung Tae-kyun?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: Basically, we've revealed what we're going to reveal, and we've handed it over to investigating the situation of robbing and investigating, so even if you say it after that, you have to say what you want to say first. We should try to meet the public's standards. I'd like to say this.
◆ Shin Yul: Yes. But the Democratic Party of Korea seems to have released a little bit of Myung Taekyun's recording today. Then isn't this getting better as time goes by? What do you think of this Democratic Party's strategy?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: The Democratic Party's strategy is. In short, it's an impeachment build-up. On November 15, the first trial of the election law was sentenced to Lee Jae-myung. On November 25, the first trial for perjury teachers will be sentenced. There is a very high probability of guilt. In short, isn't it the Democratic Party of Korea's Lee Jae-myung's one-way system? Then, the presidential election is scheduled for March 2027. What do you do if you get a Supreme Court sentence before that? You can't go to the presidential election. What should I do then? You have to pull it down quickly. You have to pull it down. Didn't CEO Lee Jae-myung say that? You have to pull it down. What's the way to bring it down? Impeachment or white. Then you talked about impeachment, what is impeachment? It's a reason for impeachment when you seriously violate the Constitution and the law. So what's a serious violation of the Constitution and the law? We are changing the frame to the frame of suspicion of intervention in nomination with the recordings recorded by the three transcripts. That way, even if it is the election of the president, it means that the election of the president is a violation of the election law, which is equivalent to the president's. That's why we continue to expand and reproduce this problem and motivate it. Then doesn't that send out a 17-second one, too? I don't know what happened to the editing, and the power of the people says it was manipulated, so what happens in the end? It is the so-called impeachment build-up process to run for the next presidential election for Lee Jae-myung's one-way system. It's going to the nomination intervention frame and driving it.
◆ Shin Yul: Simply, the recording of Lee Myung-tae-kyun keeps being released, and various politicians as well as lawmakers there come out. But all of these things are distorted because this is editing, right?
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: Isn't it what this person is saying rather than saying that it's distorted even though it's edited? What I did, what I did, what I did, what I did, what I did. So, you know, there are a lot of things that you're bragging about. So I'm going to keep scratching the Democratic Party with this. So-called, through small people next to you, or through the drivers and the people who shout hurrah over you, President Yoon Suk Yeol and Mrs. Kim will continue to hit you. These people are now kind of the impeachment scenario.
◆ Shin Yul: Okay. Anyway, I'll bring you back after this U.S. presidential election. Thank you.
◇ Yoon Sang-hyun: Yes, thank you.
◆ Synthesis: Thank you. It was Rep. Yoon Sang-hyun, the power of the people.
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