"One vote fight." Can it be a variable?Nebraska, Maine results soon [Anchor Report]

2024.11.06 AM 08:00
In addition to the neck-and-neck race in which the candidates campaigned fiercely to the last minute,

There is an area that experts are interested in.

It's Nebraska in the Midwest, and Maine in the Northeast.

Let's first look at why we're in the spotlight.

In the United States, voters don't pick their own candidates,

electors to vote for the candidate they want,

A system that allows you to vote for the president and vice president.

To this end, before the presidential election, two Republican and Democratic parties each elect 538 electors.

When a specific party elector is selected for each region, the candidates are voted again to finally determine the winner.

The U.S. election is also called the "winner-take-all system."

This is because a party with a high percentage of votes takes all the right to vote for a candidate.

Take Pennsylvania, a representative state of contention.

There are 19 electors here, if Party A had won 0.1% of the vote, even a fraction of the vote,
The electors of Party
A take all the right to vote for the actual president and vice president. Party A has 19 votes in the electoral vote.

Then, there are situations in which more votes are received by real voters, but the results are reversed.

[Min Jeong-hoon / Professor of the National Diplomatic Service (Last month, NewsNOW): The case of 2000 and 2016 is a very clear example.

In the same case in 2000, then-Vice President El Gore and Republican candidate George Bush were a little ahead in the overall vote, although it was close.

But on the electorate, Bush won when an important Florida electorate was handed over to George W. Bush.

In 2016, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton was ahead in the national vote, but Trump won as she fell behind in the electorate vote.

That's because if you give voters a national indicator, resignations can occur. When allocating electors.]

But there are only two states where this winner-take-all doesn't apply,
Nebraska and Maine I mentioned earlier
.

This is where only a portion of the electorate is distributed to the winners,
The rest of
adopts the method of allocating according to the results of the lower constituency vote as a state law.

So in Nebraska, a strong Republican state, even if Trump beat Harris in the overall vote,
If Harris defeated Trump in the inner district of
state, Democrats could take one vote.

In fact, in the 2020 presidential election, the entire state of Nebraska chose Trump, while
One district,
, chose then-President Joe Biden, where Democrats secured one vote.

However, in this presidential election, the results of the votes in these two states are considered variables that will determine the outcome of the election.

Since the race was more intense than ever, some even analyzed that the two candidates may be "equal" depending on the results of the vote counting in these two states.

Now, the results of the polls in seven competing states are falling behind within the margin of error.

So, the total 538 votes in the Electoral College could be tied at 269 to 269.

In fact, CNN says Trump wins Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina out of seven competing states,

Harris takes Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona
If one vote in Nebraska, the Republican stronghold of
, it could lead to such a tie.

That's why people say that "one vote" can determine the victory or defeat of the presidential election in such an ultra-close match.The results of the vote counting in two places

are expected to come out in the next two or three hours.

We will see what the conclusion of this U.S. presidential election, which cannot be predicted an inch ahead, will come out together.



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