The most dangerous moment since the Cold War...The geopolitical crisis that Trump's return will bring

On the ruins of World War II, mankind longed for a new order.

The world has grown relatively stable, mainly in the United States.
(Economically, the dollar's key currency, the establishment of a military alliance through NATO)

And 80 years later, there's a movement to challenge that solid order.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine marked its beginning.
　

"There is only one message to the dictators. No! No! No!" - U.S. President Joe Biden ("One Year's speech in Ukraine")

Anti-U.S. solidarity with China, Russia, Iran and North Korea is becoming stronger despite strong warnings from U.S. President Biden in Poland, which borders Ukraine.

And Trump's return to the presidential election, which won an overwhelming victory on the basis of "national priority."

How will his drastic return affect the world order?
　
　

"The United States could be caught up in a ground war..."

War and conflict are raging around the world, and we are in the most dangerous moment since the Cold War.

Former U.S. President Trump skeptical of the U.S. claiming to be the "police of the world."

"If you guide the money, you're in arrears. Then I won't protect you. I'm going to let Russia do what it wants. You have to pay!"

He has frequently expressed dissatisfaction with traditional alliances such as NATO.

NATO is responding by strengthening internal cooperation, but the unrest in its member states does not go away easily.

On the contrary, Putin's Russia is using the situation as an opportunity.

"Congratulations on Trump's election," Russian President Putin said, adding, "If it's a president that Americans trust, I'm ready to cooperate."Hungarian Prime Minister Orban Viktor, who said
The United States will fall out of the war in Ukraine and that "Europe cannot support the war alone," has spoken out further against supporting Ukraine.

Mr. Orban, who has previously been pro-Russia, has been at loggerheads with EU members, opposing Ukraine aid and Russian sanctions.

In addition, a high-ranking NATO general has emerged, saying, "The peace negotiations led by Trump will make Putin claim victory," and that "it will eventually bring damage to the United States."

'Crack of Alliance', Putin can find and aim for the niche.

"If the U.S. gives up its territory and people in Ukraine, Putin seeks to find gaps in Finland, Central and Western Europe," said Kevin Kelms, a U.S. political strategist. "In the end, the U.S. could be caught up in a bigger war in Europe, a ground war."
　
　

A country that suddenly became a player?

Another place to try to overturn the existing international order, Asia.

"The world's most isolated country has suddenly become a player." - Rob Bauer, NATO military chairman

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, who already experienced the bitter taste of failure from Trump in Hanoi in 2019, is showing off his close ties to North Korea and Russia.

It has even sent North Korean troops to Russia, which is currently at war, raising concerns from the international community.

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutter warned that it "shakes peace on the Korean Peninsula as well as Europe" and that it is an "extension of war."
　

In addition, Putin's Russia has already completed joint exercises with China in the South China Sea.

Unlike Biden, who joined forces with the alliance in order to lock down China in the event of Taiwan's emergency,
Trump's sceptical stance on the
'World Police' role offers China an opportunity to expand its presence in the international community.

"We will do our utmost to achieve peaceful reunification, but this does not mean we will give up our use of force (to prevent Taiwan's independence)." - Chinese President Xi Jinping (Oct. 2022)

Unlike Biden, who joined forces with the alliance to imprison China in case of emergency,
Trump's sceptical stance on the
'World Police' role offers China an opportunity to expand its presence in the international community.

Taiwan has extended its conscription period and purchased new weapons, but it is still lacking.
　
　

"So far, many people are aware of Trump's numerous Israeli aid."

Israel, which has gained momentum in Trump's return, is on a rampage in the Middle East.

We are bombing wherever we want,

"2025 will be the year of regaining sovereignty in Judea and Samaria (the biblical term of the West Bank) with the help of God" - Bejalel Smotrich, Israeli Finance Minister

Furthermore, we openly insist on the occupation of the West Bank under the control of the Palestinian Authority.Israel's defense minister, who said

is more exposed to attack and has a chance to "eliminate the existential threat," said

We're even thinking of an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, which was actually considered a 'red line'.
　

"Today I announce that the United States is withdrawing from the Iran nuclear agreement (JCPOA)."

▶ Iran Nuclear Agreement (JCPOA): Agreement between the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Russia, China, and Germany on lifting Iran's economic sanctions as a condition of giving up Iran's nuclear development.

Under Trump, Iran has grown closer to China and Russia since it unilaterally withdrew from the "JCPOA."

It became militarily close after joint naval exercises that began in 2019 and joined the China-Russia-led economic cooperation BRICS in 2023.Millwall relations between the three countries

have grown stronger through the war in Ukraine and the war in Gaza.

It has exchanged drones and fighter jets with Russia fighting the war in Ukraine, while Iranian and Iranian proxies are spreading tensions in the Middle East with funds they receive from Russia. China also supports Russia's economy and defense industry and represents Russia's position in the international community.

While Trump's unilateral support for Israel is expected, the Middle East has become a "powder keg on the verge of explosion" of mass production of proxy wars.
　

"Deterrence and trading. Keyword for Trump's 2nd generation".

If crises occurred in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia at the same time, what choice would Trump's America have?

"The solidarity of North Korea, China, Russia and Iran is threatening peace and security around the world," NATO Secretary-General, impatient to return to Trump, said, stressing that "it is time to join forces together."

The second Trump keyword is "suppression" and "trade," and the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) predicted.

Analysts say that it will pursue a two-track foreign policy that puts forward strong deterrence against its adversaries and persistently demands that allies pay for their contributions.

The Biden administration, which failed to give its adversaries enough fear, is different from the "isolationism" of not trying to engage in issues outside the United States as they did in their first term.

In the future, there will be considerable changes in relations not only between U.S. adversaries but also allies.