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Who has the advantage if the turnout is high?... "It depends on race, gender, and age."

2024.11.02 AM 12:53
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[Anchor]
Early voting in the U.S. presidential election is hot.

With some predicting that the early voting rate will exceed 50%, we are interested in how much the final turnout will be.
As the extremely close race continues, which makes it difficult to find an unprecedented
case, both camps are expected to be determined by how much they increase the turnout of their traditional supporters.

I'm a YouTube reporter on the report.

[Reporter]
Turnout in the last presidential election between President Biden and former President Trump was the highest in 28 years.

The final turnout was close to 67%, as more voters chose to vote by mail amid the COVID-19 outbreak.

By race, turnout has risen across all races, while white people have exceeded 70 percent.

The rise in black and Hispanic turnout was in Biden's favor, but the turnout of low-educated white people, who support Trump a lot, also rose 6.4%.

By age, turnout among teens and 20s, who are heavily Democratic, rose the most, contributing to Biden's victory.

Exit polls show Biden strong among people of color and young people and women, and Trump strong among whites and older people and men.

The confrontation between race, sex, and age continues to be similar in this presidential election.

This is why the turnout by group is more important than the overall turnout.

In particular, trends in seven competing states, each with a different population composition, are crucial.

In fact, in Georgia, where the percentage of black people is twice as high as the U.S. average, Biden won the last presidential election thanks to the gathering of black people.

At that time, the difference in the vote rate was 0.23% and 12,000 votes.

[Park Hong-min / Professor of Wisconsin State University: If the turnout is higher, it will be more favorable to Harris, and if the turnout is not that high, it will be more favorable to Trump, but the difference is very small, so I think the honest answer is to say that I don't know as an expert.]

Because of this, both camps have no choice but to make every effort to raise the turnout of their traditional supporters until the last minute.

It's YTN YouTube.




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