Forecasting models from major U.S. analysts and media outlets have analyzed that Harris and Trump have almost the same probability of winning the presidential election until the end.Nate Silver, dubbed the
'presidential tweezers statistician', analyzed that Harris' winning rate was 50.015% and Trump's 49.98% as of the 5th, the day of the presidential election.
The British economist, who previously viewed the two candidates' winning percentage as 50-50, significantly increased Harris' winning percentage to 56 percent by reflecting the last poll in his forecast as of the 5th, while Trump lowered it to 43 percent.
On the other hand, the political media "The Hill" predicted a 54% Trump and 46% Harris as of the 4th.
As of the 4th, "Five Thirty Eight," run by the U.S. abc, offered a 50% victory rate for Harris and a 49% victory rate for Trump, and "270 to Win," an independent analysis site, gave a 50.8% victory rate for Trump and 48.8% for Harris.
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