◆ [YTN Radio SHINYUL's news]
■ Broadcasting: FM 94.5 (17:00-19:00)
■ Air date: November 19, 2024 (Tuesday)
■ Proceedings: Shin Yul, Professor of Political Science and Diplomacy at Myongji University
■ Dialogue: Shin Ji-ho, Minister of Strategic Planning for People's Power,
* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information.
- The next leader of MIN JU? It's only 'Lee Jae-myung Season 2'
- Customized constitutional amendment for one Lee Jae-myung, does it make sense
- Constitutional amendment to shorten the term of office? There is no one to agree other than the dog daughter
- 'Jumyeong Yadong' lawmakers will increase more and more
- 'scream' movement will begin in earnest before March next year
- Lee Jae-myung's chances of being overturned in the first trial
- The next leader of the Democratic Party of Korea? It will stop at 'Lee Jae-myung Season 2'
- The possibility of Lee Jae-myung's representative becoming a pants manager for convergent cleanliness ↑
- Democratic loyalty competition, post-Lee Jae-myung regime preparation
- Prosecution is too much? Lee Jae-myung is so mean.
- Lee Jae-myung is like a miscellaneous offender... Do you even eat laundry?
- 'Rugby' Myung Tae-kyun, we don't know where it's going to hit us.
- The only thing not to have a relationship with Myung Tae-kyun is 'Han Dong-hoon'
- Is Lee Jae-myung going to help the ruling party? It makes sense.
- Minjoo, strategic bankruptcy... Only when the dog daughter is out of totalitarianism
- Customized constitutional amendment for Lee Jae-myung, does it make sense
- Constitutional amendment to shorten the term of office? There's no one else to agree.
◆ Shin Yul: Shin Yul's news head-to-head match, Part 1 I'll join you with a new segment as I said earlier. The name is Political Beeside. It is a corner created to deliver a sharper message on the floor in a more realistic way outside the political world. Our writer called us heroes who played an important role. You're our hero. You're in the studio of Shin Ji-ho, the head of the strategic planning department. Please come in.
◇ Hello,
◆ Sin Yul: Do you like Hero?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Then I'm mistaken because I think it's really like that.
◆ Shin Yul: No. But these days, it's a bulletin board for party members. Actually, I don't know if it's that important, but how is it going?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Isn't our party a liberal party? So it's a crime to defame others with very bad swear words or false information. We have to prevent that, but there's something that just smears. For example, if someone writes a message on the party's bulletin board that says, "Shin Ji-ho is unlucky, he's a human being, should we search for it and punish him?"
◆ Shin Yul: I heard there are a lot of slander against CEO Han Dong-hoon
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It's not like our party bulletin board. We have already held several rallies in front of our company, and they call themselves conservatives, but they start with a double bath and end with a double bath. So it's a clear criminal act. We are not responding to that.
◆ Shin Yul: Yes, the most important thing today. The most popular issue these days is Chairman Lee Jae-myung and some lawmakers' expressions to the screaming community within the party. How are you watching it? Dr. Shin
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I don't think the Lee Jae-myung system will be that shaken for the time being, and didn't you make this party so Lee Jae-myung? Through the nomination process for the last general election and the process after that. So, there is little power that can be called screaming. It doesn't mean much. However, as time goes by within the family name, the number of so-called Joo Myung Ya-dong lawmakers who pretend to be family names during the day but are agitated at night is bound to increase as time goes by. That's the period of the world of power, but at first, everyone resents Lee Jae-myung's ruling and says, "Let's unite and unite to prevent it somehow." Who doesn't talk about it now? Even Gyeonggi Governor Kim Dong-yeon says that, don't you? But after a while, I think it's a bit more comfortable with people.
◆ Shin Yul: While drinking soju
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It's really unfortunate when we talk comfortably with a glass of soju, but the reality is coming up again. Then, shouldn't we at least live a little bit? There are no choice but to say one by one under the water. That's how I see it.
◆ Sin Yul: When do you think that's the time?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's... The election law is 6-3-3 now, but didn't it take 2 years and 2 months just for the first trial? But you can finish the second trial surprisingly simply because you worked so hard in the first trial. Most people adopted witnesses in the first trial. And important legal evidence has now been processed, so I think the results of the appeal will come out before March next year. Before March next year.
◆ Sin-ryul: So how much is 6-3-3 kept?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Why did Chief Justice Cho Hee-dae talk about 6-3-3 from now on? It's a clear guideline. Then, the common opinion of competent legal professionals around me is that there is less than a 1% chance that this will be overturned in the appeal trial. So, if this one-year suspended sentence of two years is sentenced by the appeals court, then the Supreme Court's final ruling remains, and Chief Justice Cho Hee-dae said to keep 6-3-3, so the Supreme Court's ruling should be considered three months after the appeals court. Then CEO Lee Jae-myung, what will happen in three months. Not only are the badges of lawmakers falling, but the party leadership is also deprived based on the party law. Then the appeals court came out, and in three months, the party's representative will be vacant. Then we can't help but talk about what a normal party would do in three months. It is inevitable to discuss whether to go to the emergency committee or to hold a national convention to elect a new party leader.
◆ Sin Yul: But how do you watch it? Just in case. This is our family, but if Chairman Lee Jae-myung assumes that it will be difficult to run in the next presidential election, I think the presidential candidate will be screaming. Or do you think there is a high possibility that some of the relatives who wear the halo of CEO Lee Jae-myung will reappear?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I'm not sure about that right now. However, in the first half of next year, Chairman Lee Jae-myung will be deprived of his representative position, and who will come out, whether he is the chairman of the emergency committee or the party leader. But he's like, so the post-Lee Jae-myung system. There's no new person coming out, but Lee Jae-myung again, Lee Jae-myung again.
◆ Synthesis: 1-2 again, 2-1 like this
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Lee Jae-myung is likely to become a regime again. That's why we're not making it one color right now. So CEO Lee Jae-myung will also try to clean up the city. He has no choice but to resign as the party leader, but as the party's real power, he becomes the party leader, or the pants president, who he wants as a powerful person. So, Lee Jae-myung will try to establish a system of Lee Jae-myung convergence cleanliness again, and I think there is a high possibility that it will succeed. That's true in terms of the current power within the Democratic Party.
◆ Sin Yul: Then there's no room for screams to move.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I don't think so. However, it will be difficult for such a convergent clean system to be supported by public opinion. So, it seems that the so-called three-gun three-kims will try to penetrate the gap, so right now. CEO Lee Jae-myung is deeply resentful of the ruling and will take the lead in doing something. These people are... In fact, Lee Jae-myung may already be competing for loyalty to win key positions in the system.
◆ Sin Yul: The power of the people right now. In fact, if the opponent is in a situation that will change anyway, the people's power should also change this strategic aspect. So, for example, some people might say, "Should we focus on the judicial risk of representative Lee Jae-myung and change it now?" What do you think?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: At the Supreme Council meeting on Monday morning, representative Han Dong-hoon's work is now a people's livelihood economy. And our party's supreme council will be held on Thursday, right? At that time, we are planning to vote on the launch of the Special Committee on the People's Economy. In some cases, there is a possibility that CEO Han Dong-hoon will head the special committee and take care of pending issues of people's livelihoods.
◆ Shin Yul: So if you think about the people who can challenge the presidential election in the power of the people right now, there are representatives Han Dong-hoon, Mayor Oh Se-hoon, and of course there can be others. The Hong Joon Pyo market can also be dreamed of, so they should compete in their own way. That way, it'll become a box office hit. But the competition can be different based on the opponent and who this opponent is, right?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's right. So, when Lee Jae-myung steps down as CEO, there is a high possibility that Lee Jae-myung's convergent cleanliness system will reappear, but with that system, I won't be able to make it to the presidential election. There will be a wind of change and reform within the Democratic Party of Korea, and there will be a considerable possibility that a different color from Lee Jae-myung will appear as a presidential candidate. If that happens, it's been a long time. The competition between the ruling and opposition parties could be a midfield competition. Then
◆ Sin-ryul: Competition is a battle for the middle class, right?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Competition to occupy the midfield. If we've had a competition between each other in polar opposites so far, if we've played a chicken game, wouldn't the system to replace Lee Jae-myung now be based on some kind of reflection and reflection on the totalitarianism of the dog daughter? A much softer system is bound to come out. Isn't that the line that Han Dong-hoon is pursuing in our party right now? With the Central District Office and young people in the metropolitan area, I think that the ruling and opposition parties may compete for the central district for the first time in a long time.
◆ Shin Yul: Going back to CEO Lee Jae-myung, he is now additionally indicted without detention on charges of breach of duty. Representative Lee Jae-myung. An additional indictment has been made due to allegations of misappropriation of corporate cards in Gyeonggi-do Province, but the Democratic Party is too much to do even if it does. What do you think?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: You might say that even if you do it, it's too much. I think it's also possible to say that you've really done everything. The prosecution released a press release while prosecuting today, and looking at it all the way. Really, how do you spend the laundry fee on the Gyeonggi-do budget? They say that it can happen for a meal, including the laundry fee, but isn't the laundry fee too much? So this is almost like a miscellaneous criminal. I couldn't help but say that this is a very petty crime that only political criminals can do.
◆ Shin Yul: How do you forecast the first trial of perjury teacher next Monday?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: We expect that the sentence will be sentenced to one year to two years in prison, but avoiding court arrest.
◆ Shin Yul: What you're talking about is a prison sentence without probation, but it's a prison sentence, but you're not going to be arrested in court. Then the Democratic Party will be more shaken, right?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I think it's
◆ Sin-ryul: It's going to be like that as it builds up. There are a lot of things left. Seongnam FC and there's also a remittance problem to North Korea, so there's a lot left, so won't that continue next year?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It's going to be like that. However, it is most likely that the election law will be the first to be finalized. And I predict that it will be completed within the first half of next year.
◆ Shin Yul: Nevertheless, why do you think CEO Lee Jae-myung can maintain his influence in his own way?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Distribution of power within the party.
◆ Shin Yul: I see. I can't help but talk about Myung Taekyun. The Democratic Party of Korea keeps releasing additional records. How do you see it? Lee Myung Taekyun's question is
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Myung Tae-kyun is like a rugby ball, so I don't know where he'll bounce. What surprised me was that so many major politicians had a relationship with Myung Tae-kyun. I think representative Han Dong-hoon is the only politician in our party who has not had a relationship with Myung Tae-kyun.
◆ Shin Yul: Why is that?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's because of the polls. Because of polls
◆ Shin Yul: But this person was on the news earlier that lawyer Soyeon Kim has resigned. But he resigned at the request of Myung. Why did he resign at the request when he was talking about this? So I was curious about that, too. Aren't you a politician with the power of the same people? Soyeon Kim lawyer
◇ Shin Ji-ho: There are aspects that lawyer Soyeon Kim's pleading behavior doesn't suit him. You could have made this judgment. But now, lawyer Soyeon Kim is a person who has a clear feeling of likes and dislikes about others. So, rather than quietly making your own argument, you express that kind of expression externally. Then there's a possibility that you felt a bit burdened.
◆ Shin Yul: But Myung Tae Kyun is also recording right now, and you don't know where this person's mouth will hit. But lawmaker Lee Joon-seok has been talking a little lately. How do you see it?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Rep. Lee Joon-seok is now revealing that there are seven or eight cases of inappropriate intervention by the president and his wife in nominating candidates. The reason for doing so is that we need to examine the truth of the authenticity of the matter, but from our perspective, lawmaker Lee Joon-seok is also very crowded in that corner. According to the testimony of Kim Tae-yeol, who is now the head of the Future Korea Research Institute in relation to Myung Tae-kyun, he provided free public opinion polls in the process of becoming the party leader.
◆ Shin Yul: I deny it.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I deny it, but the prosecution is now searching for a polling company called PNR. Everyone knows that the PNR poll was by Myung Tae-kyun. The people of Yeouido said, "It is true that the PNR investigation became the catalyst for Lee Joon-seok's sensation. It was the first PNR survey in which candidate Lee Joon-seok declared his candidacy and Lee Joon-seok was included, and it was the first poll, which was a little behind Na Kyung-won within the margin of error, and it was pretty good, but exactly six days later, the PNR conducts the same survey, and from there, it beats Na Kyung-won to the first place. That's when Lee Joon-seok's gust started to blow. That's what everyone who knew at the time agrees about. So I made Myung Tae Kyun and Lee Jun Seok for the party leader. I've talked about that nuance before. But the problem is that after that, there was a talk concert arranged by Myung Tae-kyun in Andong, North Gyeongsang Province. But at that time, CEO Lee Joon-seok went and served as the main speaker, and that means that he paid about 30 million won for hard work.
◆ Shin Yul: But he said that's not it.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: But doesn't that mean he went to the Future Korea Research Institute?
◆ Sinryul: Yes, so I didn't receive it.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Isn't the person who filed the complaint now testifying that he didn't receive it, but that the Future Korea Research Institute received it?
◆ Shin Yul: So would it be more explosive for Rep. Lee Joon-seok to talk about? Do you think what you're saying is more reflective?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's like
◆ Shin Yul: It depends on the content, but since this is one of the representatives of the ruling party, it's a little bit
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I'm sure Lee Jun-seok has higher social credibility than Myung Tae-gyu. But now, we have to consider the specificity of this disclosure, the consistency of facts, and so on.
◆ Shin Yul: And in the power of the people, it seems to create a trial delay task force.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Yes, this is task force monitoring team.
◆ Sin-ryul: Monitoring, so why is the trial getting so much longer?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: We're going to use all sorts of tricks to delay the trial by using all means, monitor those things in real time, and then there's the act of intimidation by the judiciary. We have to stop this at the party level. Because the Constitution
◆ Shin Yul: But the Democratic Party claimed that this itself is also pressure on the judiciary
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Which one?
◆ Shin Yul: TF.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Why is this pressure on the judiciary? According to Article 103 of the Constitution of the Republic of Korea, judges are judged independently according to their conscience according to the Constitution and laws. It is judged independently according to the conscience of constitutional law. Our Constitution stipulates judges like this. But isn't the act of intimidating a judge an act of destroying this constitution? Aren't you violating Article 103 of the Constitution? Oh, then we have to stop our sugar. Of course, you have to stop it. That's a responsibility. It's my responsibility.
◆ Shin Yul: So through this TF, you mean, for example, understanding the delay of a trial, for example, asking for a huge number of witnesses, right? Do you happen to be
◇ Shin Ji-ho: But there were dozens of witnesses in the first trial, so the witnesses from the first trial were
in the second trial.
◆ Singing again is
◇ Shin Ji-ho: There are no cases of adoption unless they are very exceptional. That's why all the legal professionals say that, so the second trial is not likely to last that long, so you can delay this by applying for a trial court challenge or replacing lawyers.
◆ Shin Yul: Anyway, the future fate of Representative Lee Jae-myung will affect the power of the people in the end, but some say that it is easier for Representative Lee Jae-myung to deal with from the perspective of the power of the people. How do you see it?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That makes sense in the political engineering judgment. For the country, whether it's easy or difficult for us to compete for the burden is the lowest factor for the country. So, as I said earlier, I hope that the Democratic Party of Korea will be reborn and have a healthy leadership. In addition, I hope that we will compete in good faith with those Democrats who have been completely separated from such dog daughter totalitarianism in the next local election.
◆ Shin Yul: At the plenary session of the National Assembly on the 28th, the Democratic Party of Korea was going to pass the impeachment motion of the prosecutor in addition to the re-decision of Kim Gun-hee's independent counsel law, but the prosecutor's impeachment bill needs further discussion. Is it because there are a lot of things that are lacking? Is it because I'm concerned about the side effects? Why are you so
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The Democratic Party is strategically bankrupt. It's bankrupt and this is
◆ Credit rate: Strategic bankruptcy is
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The steps are twisted. So at first, let's not let Yoon Suk Yeol's president finish the rest of his term. Let's drop him off in the middle, right? It's an attempt to stop the constitution, but now it's all been reduced to a tool to save Lee Jae-myung. It's a constitutional amendment to shorten the term of office, so what kind of people would agree to that? Would anyone agree other than a dog daughter? Is this a country for Lee Jae-myung? The basic law of the country changes the constitution, but there can be a customized constitutional amendment for one Lee Jae-myung. There's no one to go along with it except for a dog daughter.
◆ Sin-ryul: And the truth is, if you look at it like this these days, I feel like the Democratic Party is attacking the judiciary a little too much. In particular, even though the word subterfuge is quite a great word, people in the leadership now seem to be attacking the judiciary by writing such words, but of course, these things won't affect it, but the judiciary is also made up of people, right?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It's a weighting factor. The intimidation of judges is a weighting factor. And this is the dilemma of the self-winner. When you're venting your anger, the prosecution only prosecuted now, so shouldn't you vent your anger against the court? The target of expressing anger is not now the court, so it is a judicial murder or a political retaliation ruling. By the way, it's a political retaliation ruling, and Judge Han Sung-jin is a member of the International Human Rights Law Research Council, so what political retaliation is there? Does the Left retaliate against the Left in politics?
◆ Sin-ryul: So in the end, in this dilemma, the Democratic Party, but depending on how the ruling comes out next Monday, it could add to the dilemma, and we'll have to wait and see. Let's stop here today. Thank you.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Yes, thank you.
◆ Shin Yul: I was Shin Ji Ho, the head of the Strategic Planning Department of the People's Power.
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