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U.S. presidential election D-11 poll changes after sleeping..."All In" by Kyungjoo.

2024.10.25 AM 06:03
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[Anchor]
Just 11 days before the U.S. presidential election, a poll showed that Vice President Harris is leading in four and Trump in three of the competing states that hold the key to victory or defeat.


However, it is still difficult to determine whether former President Trump is ahead of the rival states, and we will connect there to see the trend of the situation while the pre-voting heat is hotter than ever. Correspondent Hong Sang-hee!

[Reporter]
Yes, it's Washington.

[Anchor]
I deliver local polls every day, but I think I'm getting mixed up.

What's the result of today's poll?

[Other]
Yes. I think we're reporting that it's an ultra-thin competition every day. Within the margin of error, the approval ratings of the candidates on both sides of the aisle are up and down.

Let's take a look at this morning's poll here.

This is the result of a survey of more than 1,200 voters willing to vote from the 21st to the 23rd by polling agency Tip Insights.

At the national level, Harris has a 50% approval rating and a 47% approval rating for former President Trump, with Harris leading by 3 percentage points.

Let's take a look at a poll by Forbes and pollster Harris X a day ago.

Former President Trump's approval rating was 51%, two percentage points ahead of Vice President Harris.

A month ago, Vice President Harris led by 4 percentage points, but former President Trump reversed.

Trump's chances of winning the election are coming out one by one.

Political media outlet The Hill said Trump's chances of winning the election were 52 percent as of Sunday, ahead of Harris' 48 percent, while election forecasting expert Nate Silver said his gut feeling was that Trump would win.

[Anchor]
What is more important than the national approval rating is the competition state.

The reason why competing states are important is that they need to secure voters assigned to each state.

What's the current state of affairs?

[Reporter]
Currently, there are 226 electors secured by Vice President Harris and 219 electors secured by former President Trump.

Since the number of electors in seven competing states is 93, the victory or defeat here is the biggest variable in determining the upcoming presidential election.

Here are the results of a poll of contending states released today by Bloomberg News.

The survey was conducted on 5,000 registered voters in seven competing states by the 20th, with Vice President Harris' approval rating of 49.1%, 0.6 percentage points ahead of former President Trump.

Vice President Harris leads Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona.

Former President Trump has been shown to be ahead in Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin, but it's still close.

But if you look closely, you can see the current flow.

Although there is little difference in approval ratings in the Rust Belt, some analysts say that former President Trump is widening the gap in the Sun Belt, such as North Carolina and Georgia, and that the leadership of competing states has now been passed on to former President Trump.

[Anchor]
What causes Vice President Harris, whose approval rating has risen sharply right after the first TV debate in September, to struggle recently?

[Reporter]
The biggest reason is that traditional Democratic supporters, Black and Latino voters, are turning toward Trump.49% of Latino voters

say they support former President Trump, well over 38% of Vice President Harris' approval rating.

The approval rating of black voters is only 72%, lower than four years ago, and yesterday, 26% of black male voters said they would vote for former President Trump.

There seems to be a difference in competition on key issues. Let's listen to the comments of both candidates yesterday.

[Anderson Cooper and Kamala Harris / (local time, 24th, CNN): Tonight, I'm asking. Do you think Donald Trump is a fascist? Yes, that's right. I think we should trust people who know (Trump) well about this topic.

[Donald Trump / Former U.S. President (local time, 24th, Georgia: (Former) Interest rate was 2%. Now the interest rate is 10%, but I can't get money. We're going to drill, drill, drill, drill and everything will go down.]

While Vice President Harris emphasizes that former President Trump is a dangerous threat to democracy this month and focuses on values such as freedom and the future, former President Trump is working harder on issues voters feel on their skin, including inflation, tariffs, jobs and illegal immigration.

Just after Hurricane Hurlin hit the southeastern United States last month, former President Trump visited Georgia, the site of the damage, while Vice President Harris visited the Federal Emergency Visit Administration.

[Anchor]
Vice President Harris is in a more urgent situation.

Both candidates are working hard on their campaigns in the neck-and-neck states, right?

[Reporter]
Harris, who appeared on CNN's town hall meeting live yesterday, will make her first joint campaign with former President Obama in Clarkston, Georgia, this afternoon.

Today, we will be on stage together to focus on non-commercial people, black voters, and especially black men.

Tomorrow, I'm going to campaign with pop singer Beyonce in Houston, Texas.

On the 29th, former President Trump plans to hold a closing campaign rally at Ellips Park in front of the White House, where he instigated the Congressional invasion.

Former President Trump is encouraged by recent polls in contending states.

Today, he appeared on a conservative podcast and threatened to immediately dismiss Special Counsel Jack Smith, who prosecuted him, on the first day of his return to the White House.

He is also focusing on rallying supporters in competing states, including North Carolina and Georgia yesterday, and today he plans to meet with voters in Arizona and Nevada to appeal to votes.

[Anchor]
The participation rate in early voting in the U.S. is also at an all-time high.

I heard both sides have high expectations.

[Reporter]
Traditionally, high early voting rates have favored Democrats, but this time it's hard to guarantee.

According to data from the University of Florida Elections Research Institute, as of yesterday afternoon, the number of early voters exceeded 26.5 million, the highest ever.

Because it is so close, both Vice President Harris and former President Trump are encouraging early voting, especially in competing states.

Former President Trump, who has distrusted early voting, especially mail-in voting, also encouraged him to vote early, and Vice President Harris appealed to black voters to vote early.

In fact, in Nevada, a contested state, 40% of early voters are Republican supporters, more than Democratic supporters, so we will only be able to see the favorable outcome of record early voting rates.

I'm Hong Sanghee of YTN in Washington.





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