U.S. presidential election D-16, Trump, 'back-to-back' rival states prevail...Harris Reclaims Support for Black Americans

■ Host: Yoo Da-won Anchor
■ Starring: Yoon Hyun-sook, international reporter

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information. Please specify [YTN24] when quoting.

[Anchor]
The U.S. presidential election, which has been one of the greatest ever. The 16th is just around the corner. Former President Trump has shown a slight advantage over Vice President Harris in competing states with his hindsight. Harris and Trump, respectively, are sparking a last-minute confrontation to rally their rabbits around competing states to vote and increase the number of leave votes by biting and hanging on to each other's weaknesses. Let's summarize the related news with Yoon Hyun-sook, a reporter from the international department. Please come in. The U.S. presidential election is about two weeks away. First of all, how do you see the current U.S. presidential election?

[Reporter]
Former President Trump's chances of winning the election are increasing as he leads the contending stocks due to his hindsight and rise. In addition, Vice President Harris is showing support for black people and is throwing a winning move in a last-minute contest.

[Anchor]
There is a poll result, so could you explain it while looking at this part?

[Reporter]
A national poll released in the third week of October and last week shows that Trump is ahead of Fox News and conservative Rasmussen, although he is a pro-Trump media outlet, and other polls show Trump closely chasing him. There is a statistician called a tweezers in the U.S. presidential election. It's Nate Silver. Nate Silver analyzed that Trump's first golden cross since mid-September in his calculation of the probability of winning the election. Let's take a look at Kyungjoo. There are also surveys that show that Harris is ahead of the others in the tie rate and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but this approval rating is the result of a Real Clear Politics survey that shows the average of the survey institution.

If you look at it, it's as of the 18th local time, and Trump is leading all seven contending states by a narrow margin, regardless of whether he should wear a Rust Belt sun belt. However, there is also good news for Harris, who has been struggling with the results of the poll, which has been struggling with black votes. According to a survey by Howard University, a prestigious black school, only 83% of Vice President Harris and 8% of former President Trump gained approval ratings. Also, the YouGov, CBS poll showed Harris at 87% and Trump at 12%, nearly as much as the approval rating President Biden won in 2020.

[Anchor]
Candidate Trump's side is a little ahead, or in other regions, it can be seen as tight, but betting sites say that he has already leaned toward former President Trump.

[Reporter]
I went to Polymarket, the world's largest betting site, in the morning today. Trump's chance of winning the election was 60 percent and Harris was 40 percent, with a 20 percentage point gap. In fact, the gap was not that big at the beginning of this month. Trump's chances of winning the election were about 50%, but the gap has widened somewhat.

[Anchor]
On the other hand, Harris' side calls it the so-called Blue Wall. I think we need to catch Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin to succeed in a strong Democratic area, is the anti-war strategy working? How is it?

[Reporter]
Harris is so busy that she lacks even 10 bodies. First of all, as I just showed you, I'm taking a breath of the results of an investigation that has restored black support. This customized pledge to give black companies up to $20,000 worth of loans that can be exempted from repayment is working. President Obama's support of shooting is also helping.

Michelle Obama, who is still popular, has also decided to campaign for black voters in the state later this month. To attract union votes, Harris appealed to him to rally votes, saying, "Trump is not a worker friend, and six automakers have closed in Michigan alone during Trump's presidency." Trump is also stepping up his negative offensive, calling it a "threat to democracy." He is also courting moderate voters by saying that if he becomes president, he will involve anti-Trump figures from the Republican Party in state administration.

[Anchor]
Isn't Vice President Harris differentiating herself from President Biden here?

[Reporter]
In the case of Vice President Harris, he is Biden's avatar, and this frame is overlaid. I think it's a bit late because I'm conscious of this frame.Ma is emphasizing this self-differentiation, that re-government is not an extension of the Biden administration, but leadership in a new era. Vice President Harris is not showing a strong leadership image amid unfavorable situations such as tensions in the Middle East. I'm not hitting hard.

On the contrary, Trump has been highlighting his strong leadership image by reclaiming the scene of the assassination attempt. That's why Harris, for her part, is focusing on Trump's weak link: old age risk. Let's hear the related remarks firsthand.

[CAMALA HARRIS / VICE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: I've also released health records from all candidates except Trump in the presidential election. These are examples that Trump is trying to hide, along with his reluctance to debate the presidential election. ]

Vice President Harris is making a desperate effort, but it actually seems too much. However, we should pay attention to whether we can change this trend for the rest of the year.

[Anchor]
If you look at former President Trump, Pennsylvania and Georgia, they won twice. And if you bring North Carolina, you get into the White House, what's your last-minute election strategy?

[Reporter]
As we have done before, we continue to adhere to existing strategies such as America First and a strong leader image. On top of that, we are focusing on two issues: illegal immigration and inflation. At a recent campaign rally in Detroit, Michigan, he said, "Harris will become an economic Armageddon if he takes power." If he returns to power, he lashes out at Harris, saying he will execute immigrants who killed the American people and immediately expel illegal immigrants. Let's listen to it for ourselves.

[Donald Trump / Former President of the United States] If Harris becomes president, the entire country will be turned into a camp of millions of immigrants. That's actually what's happening. If I win on the 5th of next month, the invasion of immigrants will come to an end. ]

The weak part of candidate Trump is the approval rating of female voters. It's currently trailing by about 20 percentage points. We are also continuing our efforts to win back the votes of these female voters. For example, he claims that he is the father of the in vitro procedure. Also, Hispanic voters' approval ratings are rising a little more than three times. As a result, he held meetings with Hispanic women and softened up, saying, "Good immigrants should be accepted."

[Anchor]
As you said, it's even more so because it's a very close game and the U.S. presidential election is just around the corner, but there seems to be a story of Vice President Harris' harsh words.

[Reporter]
Trump's verbal attacks and personal attacks may be familiar, but Harris is also in a hurry, so his rough mouth is becoming similar to Trump. Trump erased the border on Harris. I also said that former President Obama is Trump, and that Harris is insane. When asked to pick Harris' strengths, he mocked her for her viability, saying, "The person who failed the race became a presidential candidate." For Harris, Trump is also out of his mind to handle the recent mobilization of radical leftists.

Trump's vision is fascism. He also sarcastically asked me if I was okay with Trump dancing for 30 minutes instead of asking questions during the campaign. Some point out that Harris, who has a fair and careful image, turned into a rude warrior is unlikely to help win the vote. Then, yesterday, former President Obama appeared to help Trump, saying he was old and crazy as he campaigned for support.

[Anchor]
On the other hand, early voting is in full swing in Gyeonggi Province, and the early turnout is on the rise compared to the turnout on the day of the presidential election. Which side will this benefit?

[Reporter]
It's still unclear. This is a poll released by the US NBC on the 15th local time. According to this poll, 52% of respondents said they would vote in advance, and 44% of voters said they would vote on the day of the presidential election. It is true that the higher the pre-voting rate, the more favorable it is for the Democratic candidate. In the survey, 57 percent of the respondents who expressed their intention to vote in advance said they would support Harris, and only about 40 percent said they would support former President Trump. However, one thing to pay attention to is the Harvard University Harry Spol poll.

In local time, it was announced on the 14th. Trump led Harris by 1 percentage point in the early voting approval rating of contending states with 48 percent, which was only 47 percent. In competing states, both camps are encouraging early voting, so it will be difficult for Harris to win votes proportionally as much as the national early voting rate.

[Anchor]
We have to wait until the end to see what the results will be. In such a super-confrontation situation, wouldn't this have an impact on who has collected and poured out his campaign funds?

[Reporter]
That's right. First of all, Harris is leading the way in the total amount of campaign money. But Trump is supported by billionaires such as Elon Musk. Vice President Harris is pouring 500 billion won into political ads such as TV, radio and digital in seven competing states. Elon Musk, Trump's strong hand, provided an additional 100 billion won in the third quarter alone, and is also campaigning for 1 million participants to sign the amendment, including gun ownership, an agenda Trump is focusing on. Harris is focusing on political advertising because she has more ammunition, but Trump is actually close because he is good at delivering public messages using social media for the Musk effect.

[Anchor]
Lastly, there are about 15 days left, so please point out the last variables and what there will be.

[Reporter]
Not long ago, Hamas chief Sinwar died. That's why the biggest variable is whether the Gaza war will go to a ceasefire. If the war ends before the presidential election day, it will be a good thing for Harris, but if it goes into an expansionary pattern, it will be a bad news. The key is held by Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Trump, who is well aware of this, also made it public on the phone with Netanyahu yesterday at a campaign rally.

If Netanyahu had listened to Biden's advice, Israel would not be in the same position as it is now. In addition, if there is an unknown large-scale revelation war or a scandal, the possibility of a last-minute wind cannot be ruled out at all.

[Anchor]
We looked at the situation of the U.S. presidential election and the last minute with Yoon Hyun-sook, a reporter from the international department. Thank you for talking today.


Graphic: Baek Seungmin, Lim Saetbyul, Ji Kyungyoon