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A disturbing signal to Lee Jae-myung? The current status that "non-response" tells us. [Y transcript]

2024.12.23 PM 07:37
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■ Host: Youngsoo Kim anchor
■ Appearance: Kim Hyung-joon, chair professor at Bae Jae-dae, head of InSight K Research Center, Bae Jong-chan

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information. Please specify [YTN NewsON] when quoting.

◇Anchor> Recently, there is a poll showing various changes in the ruling party's Jamryong, so let's listen to the analysis because you are both poll experts. According to the Gallup poll, the question of who you think is the best president for the future came out last Friday, with 37% of the Democratic Party's representative Lee Jae-myung. Former CEO Han Dong-hoon is 5%, and Daegu Mayor Hong Joon Pyo is 5%. Former representative Cho Kuk 3%, Oh Se-hoon 2%, Kim Moon-soo 2%, Lee Joon-seok 2%, Yoo Seung Min 2%, and Ahn Cheol Soo 1%. Among the power of the people, former CEO Han Dong-hoon fell to 5%. That's why Hong Joon Pyo and Oh Se-hoon are joining the market. How should I read the poll that just came out?

◆ Bae Jong-chan> It's the impeachment trial phase. In other words, the preference for future political leaders you see on the screen is the current state of the next presidential election, right now. The four letters that we can describe here are Lee Bu Yeo-chim. It can also be explained by the ear canal. Chairman Lee Jae-myung has emerged with a large amount of political reflexes, and the next candidates for the ruling party and conservative party are in a slump. This is the result of the investigation that reflects this situation. To point out one thing, former representative Han Dong-hoon competed with Lee Jae-myung just around the time of the general election. However, through the so-called march of hardship such as Yoon Han-gal, and as if being chased as a former representative, his competitiveness was substantially eroded. In fact, although it does not appear in the graph in the survey, Hong Joon Pyo 18 and Han Dong-hoon 16. It can be seen that Han Dong-hoon, who was expected and hoped to be unrivalled in the power of the people, has weakened his competitiveness considerably since he passed the impeachment motion. On the other hand, conservative candidates are judged to have no candidate to stand up to Lee Jae-myung right now, but on the other hand, the Democratic Party's approval rating is 48 percent in the survey. However, representative Lee Jae-myung's approval rating is also 37%. Why didn't all the supporters of the Democratic Party come in? I wonder if 11 percentage points didn't come in. Considering that this is 100% of the total, this is inevitably a matter of consideration for CEO Lee Jae-myung. In addition, it did not flow deep even in the 20s and 30s and the middle class. When interpreting this in general, isn't it a trial risk? As a result, even though this part is in the impeachment phase, the key is how representative Lee Jae-myung will shake it off.

◆Kim Hyung-joon> It didn't appear in the preference for future political leaders, but that's a free response. It's not because I read it to you, but because it's a free response. What's the percentage of the non-response? It's 35 percent. It's quite high. From this table, there is no controversy about Lee Jae-myung's representative solo system.

◇Anchor> There are also reports of the fall of ruling party runners.

◆ Kim Hyung-joon> That could be right. But as you said, the party's approval rating is 48%, but it is said to be 37%. What happened in a similar situation in 2016 was that it was almost the same as Ban Ki-moon outside with Moon Jae In candidate at the time. Even if President Park Geun Hye was impeached. So, at the time of being inside, the Saenuri Party candidates were that low. The part I'm interested in isn't coming out of that survey right now, but how many percent do you think it's from the non-partisan group? The Democratic Party is 48 percent now. Twenty-four percent is the power of the people. The percentage of the shaman group was 21%. in the Gallup Korea survey How much do you think CEO Lee Jae-myung's preference for me will come out of the shamanic group? It's 7%. And Han Dong-hoon went further and came out at 6%. As many as 73% of the non-partisan group did not answer. That means that it is Lee Jae-myung's solo system, but if you look at the contents, there are still undecided undecided undecided voters, and there are parts that can fluctuate depending on how the situation unfolds in the future. Shouldn't that much of it be seen as the power of the people who are almost in ruins, not unusual in a way? It's almost impossible to get a vote for that potential candidate there. I think how to lead this sustainably in the future is a key issue for the Democratic Party of Korea.

Excerpted from
: Lee Mi-young, editor of the digital news team

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